{"id":"W4210507036","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-1334110/v1","title":"Short-time traffic flow prediction based on seasonal gray Fourier model","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"Grey System Theory Applications","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fourier transform; Fourier series; Gray (unit); Fourier analysis; Nonlinear system; Time series; Statistics; Mathematics; Meteorology; Econometrics; Environmental science; Applied mathematics; Computer science; Geography; Mathematical analysis; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004034165,0.000328269,0.0004924564,0.0003790626,0.000221999,0.0005393341,0.0006711854,0.0005280841,0.0009361272],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001068432,0.000165683,0.0005287098,0.0003728731,0.0003811387,0.0008380809,0.0003020442,0.0005207527,0.0001414625],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005960697,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006860917,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01574841,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00933627,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998373,0.00004199172,0.000006443055,0.00004131114,0.00004585405,0.00002704537],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997997,0.00008709112,0.00002611311,0.00001698443,0.00005501633,0.00001513765],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002028648,0.00001720349,0.001156508,0.0000131453,0.00001294118,0.00003205644,0.00002130854,0.9845796,0.001813304,0.003170129,0.0002333089,0.008930268],"study_design_scores_gemma":[4.977958e-7,0.000002342576,0.0001009304,4.94864e-7,0.000001076636,0.000001774171,0.000001247611,0.9994784,0.00007754943,0.0003092283,0.00002552166,9.868858e-7],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3147248,0.0001959977,0.6803786,0.000293823,0.00006077808,0.00002819987,0.0001017552,0.0003157644,0.00390025],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.988975,0.00007336734,0.009798176,0.00002092371,0.00001105018,0.00001461495,0.00005665194,0.00001499399,0.001035172],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01574841,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03131348,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2036751811144946,"score_gpt":0.4623568796485951,"score_spread":0.2586816985341005,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}