{"id":"W4210674413","doi":"10.1088/1748-9326/ac4ebf","title":"Plausible 2005–2050 emissions scenarios project between 2 °C and 3 °C of warming by 2100","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Environmental Research Letters","topic":"Climate Change Policy and Economics","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":183,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"University of Colorado Boulder; University of British Columbia; Canada Research Chairs","keywords":"Climate change; Environmental science; Global warming; Greenhouse gas; Limiting; Fossil fuel; Coupled model intercomparison project; Climatology; Climate model; Natural resource economics; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00116349,0.0001182564,0.0002644655,0.0003297634,0.0004634152,0.00003354609,0.0002647224,0.00004216024,0.001710371],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0000383547,0.000150919,0.00006049023,0.0001299151,0.0002278496,0.0001476854,0.0006219829,0.0004180263,0.0001049337],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00044305,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001020203,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001146919,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0000127233,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984953,0.00005717737,0.0003908025,0.0003949675,0.0001083742,0.0005533129],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9993593,0.0001624393,0.0001371145,0.0002132236,0.000001093606,0.0001268238],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009996394,0.0004759476,0.7786059,0.0001295205,0.000177797,0.00001563305,0.005394831,0.0003007314,0.03556204,0.001650741,0.1755651,0.002021718],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.001681082,0.0003674334,0.0354001,0.0000259503,0.00001102245,0.00001589728,0.003917027,0.001416058,0.004216789,0.001952321,0.9502906,0.0007057703],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9910451,0.000918373,0.00001659332,0.003840974,0.00004212693,0.0003179211,0.002676885,0.000009093733,0.001132928],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9971884,0.0006508264,0.000167019,0.000447781,0.00007677464,0.00009676784,0.0002037617,0.00003257178,0.001136055],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7747254,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992022,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.14193586351806,"score_gpt":0.3128920612672719,"score_spread":0.1709561977492119,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}