{"id":"W4213270339","doi":"10.3390/stats5010013","title":"Bootstrap Prediction Intervals of Temporal Disaggregation","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Stats","topic":"Statistical Methods and Inference","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Autoregressive integrated moving average; Sieve (category theory); Econometrics; Interval (graph theory); Prediction interval; Series (stratigraphy); Quarter (Canadian coin); Computer science; TRACE (psycholinguistics); Time series; Statistics; Mathematics; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01173832,0.0005508596,0.0009293424,0.002012097,0.0004821642,0.001154323,0.001831618,0.000893463,0.002463221],"category_scores_gemma":[0.09404629,0.000412587,0.0008937279,0.001929068,0.0008981075,0.002380154,0.001576706,0.002112617,0.0004909997],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005671294,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0007024693,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002979313,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001646141,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9959007,0.002032475,0.000208709,0.0007524416,0.0009049648,0.0002006394],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9551767,0.03352107,0.002561765,0.005380077,0.002932655,0.0004277653],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003922395,0.0001556632,0.02786622,0.0001866267,0.0003929896,0.0002880946,0.0007554711,0.4733526,0.002552635,0.1763565,0.00329684,0.3144041],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002121704,0.00004399808,0.003769552,0.00004446936,0.00003395955,0.00006307082,0.00007195526,0.9395546,0.0009499541,0.05342921,0.00199442,0.00002350446],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"methods","genre_scores_codex":[0.02473923,0.0002941526,0.9727001,0.0001084806,0.00004120344,0.00002846577,0.0001174335,0.0004267807,0.001544281],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7593706,0.0005152503,0.2370324,0.0001295492,0.0001677797,0.0002467998,0.001104202,0.0001861623,0.001247261],"genre_candidate":"methods","genre_consensus":"methods","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01173832,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06207889,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1566662343872108,"score_gpt":0.4080396346165272,"score_spread":0.2513734002293164,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}