{"id":"W4213270777","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1364794","title":"Market Timing and Managerial Talent","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Human Resource and Talent Management","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Corporate governance; Portfolio; Market timing; Executive compensation; Compensation (psychology); Stock (firearms); Stock market; Accounting; Monetary economics; Finance; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001071212,0.0001835142,0.0001656525,0.0002833889,0.0003477573,0.0004559683,0.0002364688,0.0000438155,0.0003110533],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002461135,0.0001650468,0.00008718998,0.0001668297,0.00002984289,0.0006540813,0.00009227384,0.0006248906,0.0001248965],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001427799,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005060985,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00002400437,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00008243935,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9977367,0.00001156544,0.0002399464,0.000224334,0.0002703279,0.001517117],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996225,0.000009333045,0.0001702578,0.000141389,0.00003691703,0.00001964967],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001954223,0.0001723555,0.002620816,0.0000578823,0.000197338,0.00007408226,0.0000603457,0.00004238063,0.0001432736,0.7375401,0.01328314,0.2456128],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.002693675,0.0001836322,0.02448568,0.00009025876,0.0002520945,0.000198715,0.001985484,0.001707991,0.000005163366,0.5322591,0.4354028,0.000735458],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8397776,0.001582986,0.001792251,0.004590132,0.0003863989,0.0003020173,3.657939e-7,0.0001454386,0.1514228],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9889044,0.000716651,0.00002885137,0.001636261,0.002276018,0.000002263897,0.000003330937,0.00001896295,0.006413316],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4221196,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6730412,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.008196091057678132,"score_gpt":0.2072690121884106,"score_spread":0.1990729211307324,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}