{"id":"W4214951511","doi":"10.1029/2021jd035877","title":"Stratospheric Influence on the Development of the 2018 Late Winter European Cold Air Outbreak","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":22,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Stratosphere; Polar vortex; Climatology; Ridge; Potential vorticity; Troposphere; Weather Research and Forecasting Model; Environmental science; Sudden stratospheric warming; Vortex; Atmospheric sciences; Geology; Vorticity; Meteorology; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003718859,0.000611183,0.0003772031,0.0003208995,0.0004720993,0.0007941255,0.0004205289,0.0008100573,0.001087886],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001445338,0.0002251756,0.0005698324,0.0002584023,0.0003061491,0.0005419599,0.0004875803,0.0006987127,0.00009387641],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001247873,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001237201,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1971553,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1199573,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998856,0.00002069886,0.000006516323,0.00002665358,0.0000199727,0.00004050789],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999615,0.0001256459,0.00005528457,0.00003027288,0.00008856805,0.00008530106],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0003633606,0.0001478788,0.1247282,0.0000376343,0.0001922078,0.0002689811,0.00007011127,0.8626944,0.003864739,0.0006158575,0.00195642,0.005060097],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008958363,0.00007540842,0.07971925,0.00001780719,0.00006319921,0.00001902083,0.00009940725,0.9180256,0.001030783,0.0001912873,0.0006375697,0.00003099023],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.998007,0.00005611203,0.000281371,0.0001155584,0.00003198942,0.000004414058,0.000500641,0.00004551655,0.000957312],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9990853,0.00002917925,0.00015104,0.00001467709,0.00001063342,0.000004107315,0.0005883712,0.000008040957,0.0001087012],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1971553,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.3920155,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03790433026927092,"score_gpt":0.2888471443976434,"score_spread":0.2509428141283724,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}