{"id":"W4220984684","doi":"10.1111/1365-2664.14141","title":"Hotspots of pest‐induced US urban tree death, 2020–2050","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Applied Ecology","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":20,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; North Carolina State University","keywords":"Emerald ash borer; Agrilus; Fraxinus; Geography; Population; Urban forestry; Ecology; Spruce budworm; Biology; Forestry; Demography; Lepidoptera genitalia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002463984,0.0003245615,0.0001201853,0.000743406,0.000225649,0.0006325548,0.0003714028,0.0003520836,0.003849929],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005754385,0.0001178632,0.0004783591,0.0006856419,0.0001813237,0.0006078659,0.0007351502,0.000369275,0.0005683958],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001105155,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006152806,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04496197,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.068473,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998772,0.00001829709,0.000006977228,0.00002470078,0.00003154698,0.00004117839],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996924,0.00002171479,0.0001033483,0.00001540376,0.0001068951,0.00006025797],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001797648,0.00008691043,0.880278,0.0001893857,0.0002966829,0.0003054197,0.0001388456,0.04756955,0.001332437,0.003405682,0.04144343,0.02477395],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002184281,0.0001277385,0.8759893,0.0001141165,0.0001270508,0.0003951856,0.00115277,0.09278609,0.0008380382,0.003221822,0.02518229,0.0000438062],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9354931,0.002386011,0.005778507,0.002672511,0.0001519689,0.00005184159,0.0416951,0.0004045199,0.01136635],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9879237,0.0004691835,0.0007685691,0.0002763188,0.00002547949,0.00002749451,0.009506962,0.00001300338,0.0009894057],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.04496197,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08940053,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.007579258259199188,"score_gpt":0.2058871516608005,"score_spread":0.1983078934016013,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}