{"id":"W4221107151","doi":"10.1029/2021gl097036","title":"The 2021 Western North American Heatwave and Its Subseasonal Predictions","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Geophysical Research Letters","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":111,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"","keywords":"Climatology; Anomaly (physics); Boreal; Environmental science; Range (aeronautics); Troposphere; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Magnitude (astronomy); Atmospheric sciences; Meteorology; Geography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003748376,0.0004181678,0.0002429008,0.0001578708,0.0002587413,0.0005031164,0.0003077346,0.0003153927,0.00123878],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005849774,0.0001442667,0.0002830059,0.000249066,0.0001469264,0.0003857412,0.0002457316,0.0003371875,0.0002725927],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000964238,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001151621,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.1477761,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1347713,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999288,0.00001692698,0.000003129941,0.00001865598,0.00001470705,0.00001777618],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9998029,0.00004453138,0.00002341877,0.00001951032,0.00007261188,0.00003717352],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002190359,0.00009319079,0.07158778,0.00001822009,0.00008060761,0.00007073872,0.00003905386,0.9116775,0.001124219,0.0006267884,0.002884388,0.01157845],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00003176993,0.00004182185,0.03040512,0.000005355964,0.0000240822,0.000009702088,0.00006678748,0.9673104,0.0006946998,0.0004505032,0.0009500312,0.000009627671],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9933444,0.00009716688,0.001306361,0.0002900544,0.00003532736,0.000009738353,0.001375692,0.0001294266,0.003411861],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9979063,0.00003971244,0.000483783,0.00002183155,0.00001158627,0.000009131326,0.001027043,0.000009306879,0.0004914298],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.8522239,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2938318,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03530031002722574,"score_gpt":0.2974376140448716,"score_spread":0.2621373040176459,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}