{"id":"W4229038315","doi":"10.5194/tc-16-1653-2022","title":"Network connectivity between the winter Arctic Oscillation and summer sea ice in CMIP6 models and observations","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"˜The œcryosphere","topic":"Arctic and Antarctic ice dynamics","field":"Earth and Planetary Sciences","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba","funders":"Natural Environment Research Council; Sight Research UK","keywords":"Climatology; Sea ice; Predictability; Environmental science; Coupled model intercomparison project; North Atlantic oscillation; Arctic oscillation; Arctic ice pack; Arctic; Arctic sea ice decline; Climate change; Northern Hemisphere; Climate model; Oceanography; Antarctic sea ice; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001347761,0.0005261119,0.000216336,0.0006637239,0.0002637966,0.0008514046,0.0006945523,0.0005971089,0.001638261],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004791386,0.0003255376,0.0005686569,0.001068692,0.0003191765,0.00103251,0.0005870588,0.0004765456,0.0001900167],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008973384,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004531263,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.05312818,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02871091,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997609,0.00008489731,0.00001219905,0.00008803148,0.00002706415,0.00002694075],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988825,0.0006238607,0.0002050615,0.00008159858,0.0001355246,0.00007157067],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001137705,0.0000398701,0.2410426,0.00005201445,0.0002308901,0.0001037602,0.0001356466,0.7503402,0.0004243157,0.001402148,0.002073094,0.004041746],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002596781,0.00002298125,0.1048721,0.00002837021,0.00004108933,0.00003872308,0.00007942217,0.8918782,0.0002141072,0.001776167,0.001001217,0.00002166735],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.99131,0.0001968592,0.002995508,0.0003946561,0.00002764428,0.000008167105,0.00312181,0.0001328317,0.001812402],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9966276,0.0001032199,0.001031353,0.00002383412,0.0000167951,0.00001313394,0.001909911,0.0000203346,0.000253743],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05312818,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1056379,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03363284617446764,"score_gpt":0.217224659660777,"score_spread":0.1835918134863094,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}