{"id":"W4229927179","doi":"10.31219/osf.io/9y6t2","title":"Rational Variability in Children’s Causal Inferences: The Sampling Hypothesis","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference","field":"Computer Science","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Statistics; Sampling (signal processing); Set (abstract data type); Block (permutation group theory); Probability distribution; Event (particle physics); Psychology; Probabilistic logic; Sampling distribution; Mathematics; Statistical hypothesis testing; Econometrics; Computer science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02217844,0.0005797982,0.0007769068,0.001228087,0.0006009169,0.003581319,0.001784174,0.002209599,0.003372959],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1067275,0.001380675,0.001182982,0.000570785,0.007185231,0.009103029,0.002885637,0.002565279,0.0005071906],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001195685,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001105382,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001918466,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001001426,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9873723,0.00551941,0.0007526931,0.003111601,0.002583119,0.0006607869],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8394348,0.1211018,0.01414025,0.0192864,0.004415135,0.001621562],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0017097,0.0005810566,0.4474791,0.0007229857,0.0005816864,0.002442188,0.04023496,0.02599349,0.02878413,0.3042581,0.002146549,0.145066],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0005294842,0.001114379,0.2211764,0.0003052953,0.0002572966,0.003157805,0.004341298,0.110089,0.02293062,0.6281654,0.00744424,0.0004888548],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7791338,0.0005109325,0.2081987,0.002441353,0.00005305002,0.0001510524,0.0002388808,0.0004278816,0.008844424],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9751945,0.0001130803,0.02355863,0.0002905481,0.00004232366,0.000163933,0.0001210139,0.00004737006,0.0004685729],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02217844,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1172922,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06625703851970707,"score_gpt":0.2865376759927497,"score_spread":0.2202806374730426,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}