{"id":"W4230522969","doi":"10.3138/cpp.37.2.163","title":"Explaining Declining Social Assistance Participation Rates: A Longitudinal Analysis of Manitoba Administrative and Population Data","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Public Policy","topic":"Social Policy and Reform Studies","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":3,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Manitoba","funders":"","keywords":"Social assistance; Welfare; Demographic economics; Longitudinal data; Continuation; Baseline (sea); Social Welfare; Population; Social policy; Political science; Demography; Economics; Economic growth; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007247093,0.0004993594,0.0006908015,0.003239694,0.002514764,0.001803624,0.001955318,0.0005668039,0.002393258],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01742882,0.000577935,0.0008995159,0.008786254,0.0007551087,0.0006865805,0.001658292,0.001396589,0.000492837],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01427074,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.02805318,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9864331,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9856306,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9971342,0.001043417,0.0001349183,0.0003531821,0.0004955101,0.0008386807],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9885489,0.002367055,0.002575991,0.0009738941,0.004312633,0.001221483],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002349847,0.00001856814,0.9954528,0.00001041252,0.00007178869,0.00005256969,0.0007981915,0.0004102803,0.00006370483,0.0002971067,0.0008200913,0.001981032],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008454695,0.00002430105,0.9884057,0.0000415865,0.00006566159,0.00004182575,0.002621882,0.00554907,0.00008649817,0.0002022134,0.002936179,0.00001663769],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9883121,0.0005961756,0.001079282,0.001503118,0.00001844976,0.00006986978,0.006737982,0.00004560854,0.001637414],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9911322,0.0003498982,0.001081519,0.0001681779,0.000009743259,0.00006441195,0.005580599,0.00002157678,0.001591808],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01427074,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1035419,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.4145055030484044,"score_gpt":0.4544218895845592,"score_spread":0.03991638653615476,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}