{"id":"W4232283691","doi":"10.1111/j.1728-4457.2005.00085.x","title":"D. V. Glass on the Problems of a Declining Population","year":2005,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Population and Development Review","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fertility; Population momentum; Sub-replacement fertility; Population; Total fertility rate; Quarter (Canadian coin); Population projection; Population growth; Projections of population growth; Immigration; Birth rate; Demography; Population decline; Net migration rate; Developed country; Demographic economics; Geography; Economics; Family planning; Sociology; Research methodology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001780565,0.00009121348,0.0001830822,0.00006187082,0.000346863,0.00002977626,0.00009902034,0.00003275676,0.0001132808],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001308522,0.00006489483,0.00004243022,0.0002605605,0.00003812584,0.0001231868,0.00002443288,0.00005785669,0.00002316996],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00005149794,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00002394139,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0004976511,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001723144,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986379,0.0001837412,0.0004683981,0.000158764,0.0004065767,0.0001445959],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994661,0.0000579112,0.0002558285,0.0001232226,0.00005651271,0.00004047683],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000002754434,0.00004546652,0.5072104,0.0004957153,0.00002285046,1.524439e-7,0.001665423,0.00003392411,4.667226e-7,0.06829906,0.0007094175,0.4215143],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00007342011,0.000005803163,0.7026765,0.0009460613,0.0000141697,1.290972e-7,0.00007280189,0.00002861142,0.000001683815,0.0004532553,0.2956349,0.00009265975],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8901444,0.04178938,0.0006293845,0.01726422,0.0005183473,0.004633139,0.000003595873,0.0002137483,0.04480377],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9797998,0.01676927,0.001802208,0.001334377,0.00005204585,0.00005218269,0.00002234256,0.000005864351,0.0001618936],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4214216,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2667825,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05924820501958209,"score_gpt":0.3410091891304484,"score_spread":0.2817609841108663,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}