{"id":"W4232344113","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.2496870","title":"Political Booms, Financial Crises","year":2014,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"HEC Montréal","funders":"","keywords":"Boom; Politics; Financial system; Political science; Economics; Business; Finance; Geology; Oceanography; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008139663,0.0002313904,0.0003389586,0.001614455,0.0005585747,0.004791116,0.0001760574,0.002061026,0.03014913],"category_scores_gemma":[0.009898288,0.0001644335,0.0001389218,0.003409249,0.001143743,0.004211926,0.000812679,0.001495622,0.001569355],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006516902,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005783199,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004039706,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.005685473,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997694,0.00009844983,0.00002060612,0.00003937379,0.00003284117,0.00003925958],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9955876,0.002359498,0.001447233,0.00008886305,0.0001788242,0.0003379238],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001252847,0.0005187129,0.1240744,0.001795877,0.0002063588,0.001227778,0.002004993,0.006467743,0.0006732421,0.4501354,0.2765719,0.1350706],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002845798,0.0002525894,0.1712986,0.0006769164,0.0002088999,0.0007802882,0.008935528,0.008459507,0.0003343034,0.6716805,0.1370017,0.00008655494],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.5013753,0.09682383,0.003998213,0.1618761,0.003883598,0.00003955832,0.00801264,0.0003049358,0.2236858],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9650379,0.01817314,0.0002343062,0.002219989,0.001765802,0.00001702125,0.000858284,0.00002615948,0.01166742],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03014913,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1008589,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01448082288200212,"score_gpt":0.2283157177546338,"score_spread":0.2138348948726317,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}