{"id":"W4232825568","doi":"10.1017/cbo9780511753671","title":"A World of Chance","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Futures contract; Market liquidity; Hedge fund; Financial economics; Economics; Hedge; Business; Financial market; Financial system; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002374015,0.000724612,0.0007579348,0.001266113,0.006169048,0.01397655,0.0008943937,0.003253645,0.0291723],"category_scores_gemma":[0.006551298,0.000375761,0.0006368267,0.001194741,0.01974855,0.01649774,0.006317779,0.00703261,0.008072642],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002995614,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.003748557,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002522459,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003734551,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9973526,0.0009684456,0.00007469369,0.0004745289,0.0007353367,0.0003944474],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997642,0.0009345354,0.000189004,0.0004554152,0.0002861948,0.0004929705],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000008758699,0.000005574683,0.0001248302,0.00002163581,0.000003726986,0.00004815649,0.001479682,0.00008464012,0.00003125953,0.9464558,0.04071721,0.01101869],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004189291,0.00001332346,0.0001405098,0.000128852,0.000002932873,0.0001427398,0.0007629918,0.0001714895,0.00004268398,0.3477007,0.6508791,0.00001039361],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.003927793,0.01370538,0.007863172,0.03995301,0.002817285,0.00003355609,0.0001288642,0.0001404328,0.9314305],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2870481,0.020582,0.006895247,0.0254535,0.005933495,0.0001945259,0.0002586802,0.0004252341,0.6532092],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0291723,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09759104,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03732419236371876,"score_gpt":0.1820104455997246,"score_spread":0.1446862532360058,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}