{"id":"W4232825568","doi":"10.1017/cbo9780511753671","title":"A World of Chance","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"Cambridge University Press eBooks","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":34,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"McGill University","funders":"","keywords":"Speculation; Futures contract; Market liquidity; Hedge fund; Financial economics; Economics; Hedge; Business; Financial market; Financial system; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001503907,0.0003585948,0.00119574,0.0008663717,0.0001488751,0.00001953477,0.0007108053,0.0003425926,0.00002041106],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00001838276,0.0005434249,0.0006035078,0.00005651917,0.0003059049,0.0001179168,0.0002190013,0.0003857204,0.000163647],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004031023,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001755756,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001135443,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00005068098,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983054,0.00001901893,0.0006236185,0.0006407158,0.00004437186,0.0003668406],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9978167,0.00006820492,0.001139414,0.0007752494,0.00006661133,0.0001338664],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00003126809,0.00001847744,0.00008890699,0.0001054958,0.0002172401,0.00003508461,0.0001002884,0.000006843593,0.000001286275,0.8384989,0.1607951,0.0001010565],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004690284,0.00003060719,0.0001771369,0.00007433997,0.00006818842,0.000004228093,0.000006397909,0.00008714127,0.0001077156,0.0001829657,0.9982927,0.0004995156],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0007514889,0.001479861,0.0003238659,0.00002089228,0.0002990547,0.0002283,0.002085383,0.00004821157,0.994763],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.003262366,0.001106926,0.00008853585,0.0001104436,0.0003157174,0.000001526863,0.00008749974,0.00004967685,0.9949773],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.838316,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9997017,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03732419236371876,"score_gpt":0.1820104455997246,"score_spread":0.1446862532360058,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}