{"id":"W4236015924","doi":"10.31899/pgy3.1005","title":"Fertility transitions in developing countries: Progress or stagnation?","year":2008,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"","topic":"Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":65,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fertility; Pace; Developing country; Sub-replacement fertility; Quarter (Canadian coin); Demographic transition; Total fertility rate; Development economics; Developed country; Population; Population momentum; Economic stagnation; Demographic economics; Economics; Geography; Economic growth; Birth rate; Demography; Political science; Family planning; Research methodology; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003123445,0.0002146299,0.0004438499,0.002186623,0.0008526914,0.001900577,0.0004130628,0.0004787401,0.003493453],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00733023,0.0001829949,0.0003481239,0.003740364,0.0008261927,0.002279532,0.001734556,0.000833687,0.0004364769],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001379424,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002812589,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0234609,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02357202,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9990901,0.0002896567,0.000112444,0.00008040831,0.0001302648,0.0002971757],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9961542,0.0007813927,0.001495827,0.0001746993,0.0007348654,0.0006590054],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001876786,0.00007040781,0.8571103,0.0006995309,0.00007216635,0.0004166471,0.009558477,0.0005397362,0.0002096941,0.00475437,0.00916803,0.117213],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001391691,0.0001504393,0.9609753,0.0005265338,0.00003812214,0.0003490844,0.0138749,0.0002438971,0.0001512225,0.001264496,0.02239211,0.00001997411],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9200543,0.02758772,0.0005676098,0.0221598,0.0001665955,0.00009134777,0.007877735,0.0001187282,0.02137615],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9806793,0.0149281,0.0006111885,0.0006811071,0.0001632964,0.00003455019,0.001960127,0.00001147608,0.0009308222],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.0234609,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04664868,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.07255825242873798,"score_gpt":0.382362623181882,"score_spread":0.309804370753144,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}