{"id":"W4236755008","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-27139/v1","title":"The COVID-19 Pandemic: Model-Based Evaluation of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions and Prognoses","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":5,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Concordia University","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Psychological intervention; Virology; Medicine; Computer science; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.005034819,0.001019711,0.001095423,0.0009275971,0.0003208297,0.0009784531,0.0008879708,0.001417779,0.003807701],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01054395,0.0003303303,0.001017326,0.0004435029,0.0005962404,0.0006903374,0.0009306861,0.00113305,0.0001806755],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002225881,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001908549,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02019537,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.008205036,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9987258,0.0009743168,0.0000369266,0.00008818573,0.00007132426,0.0001033758],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9891006,0.009435845,0.0003872647,0.0002385079,0.0006259504,0.0002118275],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002276317,0.0001244847,0.001155308,0.00005686951,0.00003305894,0.000027177,0.000009687913,0.9944712,0.0001047749,0.00155251,0.0003434511,0.001893879],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000893653,0.0002168066,0.0004717455,0.00001645941,0.00002286396,0.000008101051,0.00002503308,0.9976403,0.00020025,0.001117231,0.0001839403,0.000007988594],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9015886,0.0009123839,0.07546719,0.002044271,0.0002038886,0.0007904037,0.003654528,0.0004751768,0.01486366],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9814219,0.0001501526,0.01613974,0.00008869925,0.00001681758,0.0002799564,0.0006113435,0.00002600214,0.001265256],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02019537,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04015565,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.8616813469699304,"score_gpt":0.6897047001576505,"score_spread":0.1719766468122799,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}