{"id":"W4238701546","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-39489/v1","title":"Evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic over six weeks in four French-speaking countries in West Africa","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Université de Sherbrooke","funders":"","keywords":"Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Geography; Political science; History; Virology; Medicine; Outbreak; Infectious disease (medical specialty)","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009158332,0.0002478699,0.0002313176,0.00100937,0.0007193969,0.00118392,0.0004191152,0.0006357945,0.001353038],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002411034,0.0001320936,0.0002363038,0.001215929,0.0005742356,0.0005441827,0.0009100591,0.0005280275,0.0001427239],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002909644,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001325582,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.203445,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.1754748,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9993801,0.0002426531,0.00001884916,0.00005470168,0.00004248454,0.0002610951],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9991738,0.0002501375,0.0002345801,0.00002863199,0.0001763771,0.0001364599],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00052096,0.00007927958,0.9681096,0.0001001187,0.0001427829,0.001261592,0.005768009,0.003465251,0.001233709,0.002570878,0.00210903,0.01463885],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000008284009,0.00007416923,0.9895643,0.00002607292,0.00002011455,0.0001778891,0.007173446,0.001213304,0.0001067259,0.0001730075,0.001450973,0.00001176683],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9977756,0.000354131,0.0001187599,0.0004966817,0.000007807433,0.000007202058,0.0004247762,0.00000346822,0.0008114112],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994335,0.0001007832,0.00007723758,0.00002745958,0.000004347488,0.000004266569,0.0001683329,8.987348e-7,0.000183185],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.203445,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4045217,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.468906935559245,"score_gpt":0.5029560210992988,"score_spread":0.03404908554005381,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}