{"id":"W4238844930","doi":"10.32920/14639406.v1","title":"Cumulative Risk, Cumulative Outcome: A 20-Year Longitudinal Study","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Resilience and Mental Health","field":"Psychology","cited_by":6,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Centre for Social Innovation; University of Guelph; McMaster University; Toronto Metropolitan University; University of Toronto; Centre for Addiction and Mental Health","funders":"Canadian Institutes of Health Research","keywords":"Cumulative incidence; Cumulative risk; Longitudinal study; Psychology; Depression (economics); Demography; Cumulative effects; Risk factor; Dropout (neural networks); Medicine; Gerontology; Clinical psychology; Cohort; Internal medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004174021,0.0003185226,0.000289876,0.0009764656,0.001405651,0.0008597869,0.0005526438,0.0007102719,0.001128735],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004924464,0.0003462957,0.0005959597,0.00122131,0.000366032,0.001380861,0.00138928,0.001322578,0.0003841892],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004999838,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009445318,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00962703,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0126747,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9992613,0.0003323081,0.0000605823,0.0001151638,0.0001063657,0.0001241516],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9980158,0.0002707052,0.0005552995,0.0003737909,0.0002811117,0.0005033332],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0002533963,0.0003631151,0.9948444,0.00001412276,0.00009669038,0.0001166037,0.000641884,0.0000694584,0.0002063885,0.0002807133,0.0003464562,0.002766878],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002898305,0.001083563,0.9949343,0.00003671947,0.0001750163,0.0002627978,0.0008537692,0.0004885012,0.0001514971,0.0003441903,0.001625237,0.00001557421],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9961622,0.0003777164,0.0008264678,0.0002384119,0.00002524844,0.00007470122,0.001398638,0.00001004445,0.00088664],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.994967,0.000386011,0.001255717,0.0002058949,0.00004415972,0.0001683922,0.002061262,0.000006742457,0.0009047754],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.00962703,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02207464,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1455717353007021,"score_gpt":0.4964309109203261,"score_spread":0.350859175619624,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}