{"id":"W4239153547","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.1412008","title":"Future Threats","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Nuclear Issues and Defense","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary","funders":"Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Geography; Political science; Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001130369,0.00006786152,0.00008815664,0.00004235062,0.0005985464,0.00009312197,0.0001966896,0.00007308622,0.0001377883],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00002091248,0.00005699947,0.00008227711,0.0001544692,0.00003907278,0.0001608349,0.000005987048,0.0008694191,0.0001472777],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003890436,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0009490817,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00008348107,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00199459,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9978176,0.00007751099,0.0001011362,0.00009599971,0.0002798913,0.001627897],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9996988,0.0000107207,0.0000517828,0.00008233041,0.00005060825,0.0001057483],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001378011,0.00002051358,0.0001177309,1.431053e-7,0.00001005206,0.000005733391,0.001657589,7.799539e-7,0.00001977427,0.8340541,0.0008507926,0.163249],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001654206,0.000159603,0.0005739769,0.000003121894,0.000008284308,0.00007260648,0.01096343,0.000001061785,0.000003051885,0.6580732,0.329894,0.0000822959],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.3733104,0.03297563,0.0005615783,0.07076152,0.001531726,0.0002426984,0.000001085259,0.0002469312,0.5203685],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9673426,0.01708755,0.00006862934,0.0005359803,0.002745816,2.066279e-7,3.10428e-7,0.000006731724,0.01221215],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.5940323,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.4603595,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01019939640818709,"score_gpt":0.2932917999284748,"score_spread":0.2830924035202877,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}