{"id":"W4240950770","doi":"10.24124/2011/bpgub1490","title":"Business cycles and profit warnings: over and under reaction of U.S. firms, according to size and industry 1995-2009","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"dissertation","venue":"","topic":"Financial Markets and Investment Strategies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Northern British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Profit (economics); Monetary economics; Business; Business cycle; Warning signs; Economics; Advertising; Commerce; Financial economics; Microeconomics; Macroeconomics; Engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004597148,0.000182778,0.0001690798,0.0008366415,0.0002677043,0.001003964,0.0001818587,0.0004445066,0.001959162],"category_scores_gemma":[0.003807618,0.0001183479,0.0001805225,0.001274568,0.0002216883,0.0005874324,0.0005494781,0.0005532738,0.0003150507],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006021828,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000269994,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03135791,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.04810063,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997874,0.00003447793,0.00002630244,0.00003522432,0.00005313593,0.00006342253],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9934722,0.000792702,0.004510572,0.0000968103,0.0006404542,0.0004872978],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001747461,0.000058172,0.9915419,0.0000102947,0.00004179221,0.00005264622,0.0003897749,0.0002019276,0.0001738788,0.00007741852,0.001083849,0.006193464],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001760473,0.00003234463,0.9984652,0.000005596308,0.000009804418,0.00001782269,0.0006249912,0.0002226028,0.00007326135,0.00002530097,0.0005178634,0.000003447443],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9973996,0.0002224312,0.00002803628,0.0003672868,0.00001140787,0.000004422272,0.0007057969,0.000003723806,0.001257369],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.997965,0.0003274991,0.000022444,0.00007369472,0.00002338096,0.000003067485,0.0008156878,0.000001871903,0.0007673061],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03135791,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.06235081,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02786918220265613,"score_gpt":0.2343318187014985,"score_spread":0.2064626364988424,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}