{"id":"W4242722919","doi":"10.32920/14638461.v1","title":"European Monetary Union: a cointegration analysis","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"European Monetary and Fiscal Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Toronto Metropolitan University","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Cointegration; Maastricht Treaty; Economics; European union; Convergence (economics); International economics; European monetary union; Economic and monetary union; Treaty; Exchange rate; Macroeconomics; European integration; Monetary policy; Econometrics; Political science","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001555616,0.0004073999,0.000448181,0.001600614,0.0003387191,0.001584866,0.0002662971,0.0006118273,0.004692282],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004290819,0.0001560474,0.0004201917,0.004241611,0.0003794793,0.001553253,0.0005810283,0.0006473924,0.000968745],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0004442927,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006024399,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.003527182,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00103168,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9991617,0.0004767365,0.00003632149,0.000107784,0.0001779011,0.00003953168],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9994531,0.000272084,0.00008918699,0.00006767952,0.000101598,0.00001620218],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008119066,0.00005561632,0.008465124,0.0001935625,0.0002106189,0.000368084,0.0004048333,0.06179998,0.0005182728,0.7688526,0.01996361,0.1390865],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008276324,0.00009829014,0.02966048,0.0003861611,0.0002031264,0.0002746439,0.0004134687,0.2416426,0.001317395,0.596524,0.1293558,0.00004126963],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1982666,0.02482816,0.5404822,0.005693201,0.0007294281,0.0001174895,0.00253621,0.000801357,0.2265453],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9097918,0.01129849,0.05956272,0.0003427629,0.0004503746,0.0001680165,0.001890776,0.0001438081,0.01635123],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.004692282,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01569724,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0388291310737795,"score_gpt":0.2064279436195468,"score_spread":0.1675988125457673,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}