{"id":"W4245851895","doi":"10.1086/685959","title":"Comment","year":2016,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"NBER Macroeconomics Annual","topic":"Fiscal Policies and Political Economy","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Deutsche Bundesbank","keywords":"Insolvency; Prime minister; Population; Economics; Political science; Political economy; Sociology; Law; Politics; Demography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003976895,0.0006938931,0.0006534184,0.001622275,0.004507511,0.00740919,0.003222342,0.01275814,0.3800602],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02809262,0.0004489794,0.001336657,0.002065626,0.00195152,0.007603512,0.003721434,0.01291104,0.1944728],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.005594765,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.006877662,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01794866,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01725145,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9958358,0.0004257272,0.0002252104,0.0008686024,0.001789369,0.0008553622],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9911815,0.002179541,0.000360678,0.0009743848,0.004488935,0.0008148909],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001451691,0.000006401507,0.0001263239,0.00003753096,0.000002214852,0.00006182065,0.00008793251,0.00000861366,0.00003046652,0.008994538,0.9864754,0.00415422],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004963167,0.000002680455,0.0002288864,0.00007453045,0.000001787681,0.00003722777,0.0001402569,0.000009540942,0.00006462905,0.001061865,0.998368,0.000005743845],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"commentary","genre_scores_codex":[0.0008798903,0.002480839,0.0006306273,0.4909961,0.1059918,0.0001294802,0.00431859,0.000547573,0.3940251],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.007602032,0.001358273,0.00037968,0.4063112,0.01431492,0.0001600226,0.001627209,0.0005146704,0.567732],"genre_candidate":"commentary","genre_consensus":"commentary","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3800602,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01633733911997947,"score_gpt":0.2125152517159508,"score_spread":0.1961779125959713,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}