{"id":"W4247094458","doi":"10.5089/9781498338660.007","title":"2011 Triennial Surveillance Review - External Study - IMF and Global Financial Stability","year":2011,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"MF Policy Paper","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Financial crisis; Credibility; Relevance (law); Mainstream; Surprise; Finance; Accounting; Economics; Political science; Business; Sociology; Law","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008926734,0.0002690345,0.0006967432,0.00006773343,0.000153717,0.00004560205,0.0003052021,0.0001078483,0.0012545],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0004516127,0.0002744801,0.0001497492,0.0003083455,0.0001312085,0.0002465869,0.0001655243,0.0001422315,0.00060127],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0001205867,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00008026454,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.03053723,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001813893,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9979895,0.00006673667,0.0008152672,0.0005387687,0.00007155784,0.0005181275],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989662,0.0000245923,0.0002663678,0.0005131853,0.00005322495,0.0001764466],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006599236,0.0003752189,0.7790107,0.0001198735,0.00002178507,0.000007042615,0.0011861,8.679108e-8,0.000006151922,0.2095251,0.007738638,0.00194336],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000538938,0.0002093151,0.8839029,0.00002810779,0.000008384532,0.000007620363,0.00003550913,0.000001259363,0.00000498832,0.0199127,0.09505911,0.0002911762],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9284576,0.02345751,0.00004153809,0.001179095,0.0004690129,0.000651234,0.0008044965,0.00005363139,0.04488592],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9925288,0.003443346,0.0001067843,0.003261882,0.0004443555,0.00004164611,0.000003782001,0.00001570279,0.0001536967],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.1896124,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999707,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0508910067896611,"score_gpt":0.2667704842102477,"score_spread":0.2158794774205866,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}