{"id":"W4248516174","doi":"10.1037/1076-898x.6.3.171","title":"People focus on optimistic scenarios and disregard pessimistic scenarios while predicting task completion times.","year":2000,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of Experimental Psychology Applied","topic":"Leadership, Behavior, and Decision-Making Studies","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":145,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia; Wilfrid Laurier University; University of Windsor; University of Waterloo","funders":"Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada","keywords":"Pessimism; Focus (optics); Task (project management); Computer science; Psychology; Economics; Epistemology; Management; Philosophy; Physics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003070746,0.000461495,0.0002454551,0.0005466513,0.0003323032,0.001303801,0.0002751862,0.0008745164,0.0019352],"category_scores_gemma":[0.03459114,0.0003125097,0.0003408106,0.0002046647,0.000342742,0.001381796,0.0004587113,0.0006654381,0.0005005024],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002080175,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002210235,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005780904,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001041024,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9989655,0.0005516629,0.00006551811,0.0001458663,0.0002070795,0.00006443257],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9783779,0.0153314,0.00372469,0.001166299,0.0007393931,0.0006603139],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003694374,0.0008528877,0.8420559,0.0003940188,0.0004548879,0.0003548553,0.01364619,0.006556999,0.02014704,0.002623056,0.003213532,0.1060063],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0004026053,0.004114834,0.8485301,0.0003159223,0.0004688797,0.001367996,0.01282326,0.09224633,0.01501988,0.01561547,0.008732667,0.000362012],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9939686,0.00009821729,0.003317672,0.0001145682,0.00001168501,0.00002877755,0.0000538744,0.00006282693,0.002343783],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9973014,0.00004335276,0.002271931,0.00005151233,0.000006201612,0.00002231162,0.00006947506,0.000005479787,0.000228357],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.003070746,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.01623982,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08406223557139186,"score_gpt":0.392587479551189,"score_spread":0.3085252439797971,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}