{"id":"W4249394100","doi":"10.5489/cuaj.12","title":"Challenging the 10-year rule: The accuracy of patient life expectancy predictions by physicians in relation to prostate cancer management","year":2012,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Urological Association Journal","topic":"Health Systems, Economic Evaluations, Quality of Life","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Calgary; Kingston General Hospital; Queen's University","funders":"","keywords":"Life expectancy; Respondent; Context (archaeology); Medicine; Specialty; Expectancy theory; Demography; Psychology; Family medicine; Social psychology; Population","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02059412,0.0004093881,0.0004821647,0.001331524,0.0005772557,0.001731426,0.0007360108,0.0009771413,0.002004313],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1610755,0.0002228768,0.0004930198,0.001043067,0.001053474,0.001485371,0.0009837468,0.000768353,0.0003184085],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00135279,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001166887,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01373476,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01345471,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9870877,0.008210658,0.001012004,0.0008460038,0.002374549,0.0004691094],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8465555,0.1227874,0.02042013,0.003101631,0.005374148,0.001761211],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006512366,0.00006898607,0.9689098,0.00007846798,0.0001428723,0.00006442399,0.0004238302,0.003198575,0.00006095371,0.0002231781,0.001455627,0.0247221],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0000464181,0.0005551417,0.9607925,0.0002067534,0.0001163932,0.0005180291,0.001061413,0.03269462,0.0005132782,0.001911002,0.001531319,0.00005313473],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9899193,0.001650118,0.001884833,0.002465526,0.00005772831,0.00003448131,0.0006588616,0.0000261581,0.003302973],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9985601,0.000189927,0.0007971162,0.00009920086,0.00003010041,0.000007536939,0.0002388192,0.000002194278,0.00007485953],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02059412,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1089134,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0875195155493715,"score_gpt":0.3260670631412232,"score_spread":0.2385475475918517,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}