{"id":"W4250997771","doi":"10.31219/osf.io/97ycz","title":"Iffy Predictions and Proper Expectations","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Epistemology, Ethics, and Metaphysics","field":"Arts and Humanities","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Waterloo","funders":"","keywords":"Successor cardinal; sort; Epistemology; Process (computing); Connection (principal bundle); Speech act; Computer science; Psychology; Philosophy; Linguistics; Mathematics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.007752077,0.0005258667,0.0005714903,0.0009234806,0.002077764,0.005448805,0.001081764,0.002943715,0.005323472],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01672807,0.0005024773,0.0009345979,0.0005687423,0.01567579,0.01127865,0.002965491,0.003595673,0.001140727],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002526315,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002020122,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002333976,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001298236,"domain_scores_codex":[0.992023,0.003942173,0.0004334982,0.001575198,0.001370452,0.0006555554],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9915087,0.004270577,0.0008217022,0.001991911,0.001059375,0.0003476752],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001485998,0.000006375803,0.0003477623,0.00001237576,0.000005243687,0.0000333808,0.0005978134,0.0004483248,0.0001005841,0.9953738,0.0004692501,0.002590191],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000006203946,0.000005885481,0.0002269795,0.00001515323,0.000003907872,0.00002032228,0.0001543124,0.00213627,0.0002174696,0.9943067,0.002899771,0.000006960944],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1063727,0.001362016,0.414003,0.02692762,0.0005362431,0.00009866646,0.0003988263,0.0005355531,0.4497653],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9723693,0.0002639903,0.01736717,0.001146113,0.0002625432,0.00008328575,0.0001490733,0.0001439298,0.008214727],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.007752077,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04099739,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1387050347070976,"score_gpt":0.2886127400647587,"score_spread":0.1499077053576611,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}