{"id":"W4251314509","doi":"10.5539/ijsp.v8n6p79","title":"Expected Winning Probabilities in Sequential Truels under Uniform Distributions","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Statistics and Probability","topic":"Decision-Making and Behavioral Economics","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Mathematics; Conjecture; Sequential estimation; Mathematical economics; Computer science; Mathematical optimization; Combinatorics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002244315,0.0001105878,0.0002936302,0.0002376182,0.00004452262,0.0003453281,0.0004995335,0.00006156328,0.0005037115],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00178421,0.00008349668,0.00007801097,0.0001679962,0.000126047,0.0004268397,0.0001302578,0.0002281597,0.00002077141],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0002369641,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002117897,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00004846384,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001058465,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975033,0.0001149224,0.001182928,0.0002413839,0.0008111865,0.0001462686],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9967979,0.001179461,0.0005323569,0.0001921537,0.001212009,0.00008614423],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0006639418,0.000657935,0.4643151,0.00001750265,0.00009873882,0.00008123661,0.001657114,0.006053194,0.0005022705,0.19269,0.001369433,0.3318935],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000600776,0.0001270001,0.08052031,0.00004427299,0.00000733031,0.00006538594,0.0004781768,0.001456394,0.00004851526,0.9144777,0.002070329,0.0001037889],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9618583,0.000032546,0.03544787,0.0007547374,0.001073444,0.0001256059,0.000367384,0.000004750474,0.0003354098],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9844346,0.00001384831,0.01534129,0.00005039755,0.00005889506,0.000001855603,0.00001200012,0.000004953225,0.00008215661],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.7217877,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5515288,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.08631143428977427,"score_gpt":0.3867636306483641,"score_spread":0.3004521963585898,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}