{"id":"W4252429161","doi":"10.1142/9789811222634_0002","title":"The Five Investor Camps that Try to Beat the Stock Market","year":2020,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"World Scientific handbook in financial economic series","topic":"Economic, financial, and policy analysis","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Beat (acoustics); Stock market; Business; Stock (firearms); Financial economics; Financial system; Monetary economics; Economics; Geography; Acoustics; Physics; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","sts","scholarly_communication","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.00211839,0.0008699891,0.001691249,0.0009832029,0.001739008,0.001249836,0.002045232,0.00041927,0.00219701],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0002719159,0.000791476,0.0007379496,0.0003043188,0.001462617,0.0005265895,0.0005798557,0.0009643789,0.006411916],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001080209,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006642129,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0005996883,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.08752109,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9949316,0.00005414311,0.002020609,0.001866764,0.0001152823,0.001011546],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9961397,0.000423761,0.001286862,0.001768594,0.00005005769,0.0003310206],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000142512,0.00001126933,0.0007455488,0.00003242969,0.00009560872,0.00001031842,0.001367814,0.0001163296,0.000001390032,0.6161896,0.3798361,0.001451059],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003165063,0.00005504188,0.0008911878,0.0001094606,0.00003507821,0.000004498455,0.00005464578,0.0001352869,0.0000389565,0.1298104,0.8677225,0.0008264518],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.004674959,0.01804069,0.00007006319,0.01628812,0.01220902,0.002286687,0.003950023,0.0001287083,0.9423517],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.007411818,0.0009638072,0.0001249992,0.002063619,0.001522572,0.0002717469,0.0001003596,0.0001499693,0.9873911],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.4878864,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.999787,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03777509688531704,"score_gpt":0.21127578152794,"score_spread":0.1735006846426229,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}