{"id":"W4252509457","doi":"10.1142/10506","title":"Stock Market Crashes","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"World Scientific series in finance","topic":"Insurance and Financial Risk Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Stock market; Financial economics; Business; Stock (firearms); Economics; Geography; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003534458,0.0008366343,0.000395067,0.002192536,0.0003525946,0.001424067,0.0004736631,0.0009263177,0.03432554],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002131932,0.0002058919,0.0004536514,0.001160046,0.0003598783,0.00154374,0.001018366,0.001175033,0.015858],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005145849,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0006249275,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002270113,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.003897067,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9997304,0.00002087653,0.00001645778,0.00003231836,0.0001684089,0.00003158513],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999465,0.00009604017,0.00008138015,0.00005839191,0.0002260461,0.0000731019],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00006381844,0.0000617656,0.002820172,0.0002202157,0.00005393712,0.0002634901,0.00007989312,0.001024913,0.0003920801,0.02872144,0.4975574,0.4687408],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002308935,0.0001221968,0.01402484,0.0009488845,0.0000796349,0.002194588,0.0001588206,0.00218719,0.0009497618,0.06304685,0.9162374,0.00002682179],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.01478668,0.1782452,0.01158937,0.01382825,0.007076268,0.0001304166,0.002891721,0.001012179,0.77044],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.1047813,0.1781709,0.002630013,0.003261228,0.01084584,0.00009242918,0.00567026,0.0002436195,0.6943044],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03432554,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1148304,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03046294281385531,"score_gpt":0.2234413396162147,"score_spread":0.1929783968023594,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}