{"id":"W4252509457","doi":"10.1142/10506","title":"Stock Market Crashes","year":2017,"lang":"en","type":"book","venue":"World Scientific series in finance","topic":"Insurance and Financial Risk Management","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"University of British Columbia","funders":"","keywords":"Stock market; Financial economics; Business; Stock (firearms); Economics; Geography; Archaeology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"category_scores_codex":[0.001658719,0.0005241862,0.001153445,0.001119516,0.0007647389,0.000787878,0.001699843,0.0002812189,0.001305281],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001702848,0.0006689373,0.0002827361,0.0004596709,0.0009436577,0.0007877139,0.0004285002,0.0006381252,0.002364645],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005201351,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000216552,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007491705,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004710621,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9962721,0.00001577755,0.001168321,0.001563534,0.0001662263,0.0008139867],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9962894,0.00004103585,0.001283981,0.00225097,0.00007390614,0.00006065966],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"not_applicable","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000343257,0.00004391357,0.0031408,0.0001331447,0.00001692551,0.0000648263,0.000168869,0.0000158646,2.31112e-7,0.3582813,0.6338086,0.004291253],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002523897,0.00002447498,0.01943238,0.000275652,0.000005070602,0.000001658124,0.000004776187,0.00005478753,0.000003651212,0.15449,0.8248343,0.0006208654],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":"not_applicable","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.0005601626,0.008639304,0.00006818771,0.0004506917,0.009264819,0.0006323496,0.0006076808,0.00006084742,0.9797159],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.005430252,0.001116325,0.0004549949,0.0001240306,0.0003822761,0.0001394791,0.00009821404,0.00008088705,0.9921736],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2037912,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9996077,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.03046294281385531,"score_gpt":0.2234413396162147,"score_spread":0.1929783968023594,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}