{"id":"W4253758948","doi":"10.25336/csp29383","title":"Model-Based Demography: Essays on Integrating Data, Technique, and Theory","year":2018,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Canadian Studies in Population","topic":"demographic modeling and climate adaptation","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":8,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Demography; Econometrics; Sociology; Geography; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003624875,0.0001330758,0.0002043599,0.00100807,0.000352767,0.00007566297,0.0003398145,0.00008214996,0.00001261666],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002324101,0.0001067623,0.00002791419,0.0008447014,0.0002459005,0.000243612,0.00005424768,0.0001277609,0.000007701623],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00008921421,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00007123953,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00793012,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.3204964,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9982361,0.0001877334,0.0004430653,0.0005122336,0.0003790222,0.0002418181],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984001,0.0004951556,0.0001280662,0.0006180977,0.0002440702,0.0001145388],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001193932,0.00004433665,0.3888944,0.00002917904,0.00005937358,0.00001433569,0.003352873,0.01153532,0.00006655316,0.1710286,0.006233308,0.4186224],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001820321,0.00006643651,0.02223402,0.0001162449,0.00001365554,0.000001408563,0.002331878,0.6006038,0.00001009812,0.3739754,0.0002828659,0.0001821648],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.8527514,0.001069334,0.1278706,0.0009613882,0.0007558847,0.0007475952,0.0001490449,0.000106205,0.01558847],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9928578,0.00002477303,0.00638047,0.0005564953,0.00005255929,0.00002728538,0.00004761255,0.00001063717,0.00004235643],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5890685,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9986762,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.280641802298203,"score_gpt":0.4457852923865273,"score_spread":0.1651434900883243,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}