{"id":"W4254325644","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3188085","title":"Disastrous Defaults","year":2019,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Credit Risk and Financial Regulations","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Center for Interuniversity Research and Analysis on Organizations; University of Toronto","funders":"","keywords":"Default; Business; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002450184,0.0002264879,0.0005405858,0.001384456,0.001200687,0.002007002,0.000569056,0.001907448,0.01430784],"category_scores_gemma":[0.01446038,0.0001780476,0.000459503,0.0007462505,0.0006862303,0.001351489,0.001487325,0.002583876,0.003470836],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0008860024,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008151733,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001234649,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.002677069,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9986236,0.0002383591,0.0001383334,0.0002022655,0.0004207366,0.0003767314],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9878107,0.00231926,0.003385625,0.002578848,0.001734201,0.002171426],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.003505817,0.0009922374,0.221539,0.0002879051,0.0004401018,0.007448103,0.002091445,0.007792644,0.007204016,0.1384352,0.2248747,0.3853889],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003859447,0.001325519,0.4230745,0.000504492,0.0003414913,0.01034719,0.002948287,0.02679316,0.004423372,0.2959689,0.2336747,0.0002124725],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7482475,0.004628613,0.01052259,0.02158535,0.001584037,0.0001211437,0.003235891,0.002239834,0.207835],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9859862,0.000509927,0.0005252124,0.001153201,0.0003471757,0.00001248755,0.000453856,0.00004686957,0.010965],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01430784,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04786444,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00781676024410761,"score_gpt":0.194491515270103,"score_spread":0.1866747550259954,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}