{"id":"W4255148167","doi":"10.3386/w15540","title":"Bayesian Persuasion","year":2009,"lang":"en","type":"report","venue":"National Bureau of Economic Research","topic":"Opinion Dynamics and Social Influence","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Simon Fraser University","funders":"Booth School of Business, University of Chicago; Neubauer Family Foundation; University of Chicago","keywords":"Persuasion; Bayesian probability; Computer science; Psychology; Artificial intelligence; Social psychology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.009832952,0.0006636989,0.001081323,0.001304307,0.001251502,0.004136047,0.001224402,0.004263993,0.01463508],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0559706,0.0004607414,0.000785163,0.0007602955,0.003332606,0.005869026,0.001804403,0.002758704,0.001613037],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00194071,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001216751,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001056852,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0008159754,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9910932,0.005375391,0.0003719799,0.001158678,0.001480136,0.0005206281],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9774243,0.01692419,0.002017399,0.001636527,0.001346173,0.000651461],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00009191183,0.00009166777,0.00201138,0.0002991367,0.0001158786,0.0001280928,0.0008787464,0.002455595,0.0004094454,0.9446587,0.006773087,0.04208643],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00008399519,0.00005843901,0.001233232,0.000139036,0.0000596313,0.0002482975,0.0003764769,0.006528495,0.0002373978,0.9680188,0.02299113,0.00002507364],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.07516949,0.01150066,0.2819051,0.07530668,0.001029056,0.0004089848,0.0004434643,0.0002366456,0.5539999],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9437357,0.003486927,0.02731569,0.004391868,0.0008487086,0.0003135263,0.0001312757,0.00004239397,0.01973387],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.01463508,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.05200225,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2562997175169883,"score_gpt":0.5365797476581714,"score_spread":0.2802800301411831,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}