{"id":"W4280633971","doi":"10.3233/sji-220011","title":"The Eurostat business cycle clock and the pandemic: Some considerations","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Statistical Journal of the IAOS","topic":"Global Financial Crisis and Policies","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Business cycle; Recession; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; Quarter (Canadian coin); Economics; Economic indicator; Economic slowdown; Macroeconomics; Geography","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0009919894,0.00007534314,0.0002184433,0.00002606762,0.00110706,0.0001423761,0.0002564365,0.00001682744,0.0001003479],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001240884,0.00003929575,0.0000747602,0.0001279066,0.0003524373,0.00007064363,0.0001799253,0.0003065776,0.0000106879],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00004182775,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00005979147,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001409757,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00003056988,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999029,0.0001176845,0.0005144447,0.00008189351,0.00008665712,0.0001703481],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9984581,0.0009023562,0.000370406,0.000162484,0.00006275284,0.00004383729],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00004564679,0.00001409527,0.002011059,0.00000231964,0.0000245704,0.0000037315,0.0002678096,0.0002982828,0.000002530105,0.981487,0.01547089,0.0003721045],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0006034281,0.00003506104,0.04546991,0.000003183098,0.00001848577,0.0001558653,0.000178363,0.0003508309,0.000001674689,0.7843135,0.1688075,0.00006216633],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.6164476,0.05354731,0.01093457,0.2914995,0.01000534,0.001235763,0.005368204,0.00003402782,0.01092774],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9966319,0.0006875468,0.0001420491,0.002141254,0.0001586603,0.000005963088,7.257152e-7,0.000007949056,0.0002239413],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3801844,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8514722,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02053888412303893,"score_gpt":0.2340940480322432,"score_spread":0.2135551639092042,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}