{"id":"W4281793926","doi":"10.1016/j.ijid.2022.05.058","title":"Increased outbreaks of monkeypox highlight gaps in actual disease burden in Sub-Saharan Africa and in animal reservoirs","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"International Journal of Infectious Diseases","topic":"Poxvirus research and outbreaks","field":"Immunology and Microbiology","cited_by":125,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Institute of Infection and Immunity","funders":"European and Developing Countries Clinical Trials Partnership; Horizon 2020 Framework Programme; Centers for Disease Control and Prevention; National Institutes of Health; Deutscher Akademischer Austauschdienst; Horizon 2020; National Institute for Health and Care Research","keywords":"Monkeypox; Outbreak; Transmission (telecommunications); Population; Geography; Smallpox; Rodent; Basic reproduction number; Demography; Socioeconomics; Environmental health; Vaccination; Biology; Ecology; Medicine; Virology; Vaccinia","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004158028,0.000148828,0.0003364002,0.001259293,0.00005370964,0.00002259042,0.000429336,0.00005992462,0.0004003063],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0007192453,0.0001412004,0.0001218181,0.0002887301,0.0001596575,0.0002418132,0.0002799199,0.0005275395,0.000007534892],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003328896,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004005873,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001314676,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.000516853,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981185,0.0004881884,0.000648233,0.0001948534,0.0002528606,0.0002973275],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9989774,0.0003655618,0.0002737587,0.0001144669,0.0001633818,0.0001054852],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.01394691,0.001959091,0.9031395,0.00003885585,0.0002916201,0.001786162,0.000807577,0.001005762,0.07180265,0.0001721487,0.002555714,0.002494057],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.007318541,0.0005240406,0.9794837,0.0001654537,0.00003085046,0.0001977239,0.0002999214,0.00005937223,0.002541814,0.0009907987,0.008191181,0.0001965583],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9873638,0.01093532,0.000001996626,0.0005682159,0.0002903991,0.000153208,0.0003992953,0.000008694056,0.0002791369],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9984991,0.001248015,0.000002701113,0.00005281916,0.00006000471,0.00002899621,0.00005223657,0.00001273072,0.00004339315],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.07634429,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.5757984,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.0094744467700386,"score_gpt":0.257864897123306,"score_spread":0.2483904503532673,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}