{"id":"W4282828114","doi":"10.31234/osf.io/m49y3","title":"Revisiting the Moral Forecasting Error – A Preregistered Replication and Extension of “Are We More Moral Than We Think?”","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"","topic":"Psychology of Moral and Emotional Judgment","field":"Neuroscience","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Cheating; Generalizability theory; Psychology; Replication (statistics); Social psychology; Task (project management); Deception; Extension (predicate logic); Sample (material); Population; Dimension (graph theory); Power (physics); Cognitive psychology; Computer science; Developmental psychology; Statistics; Sociology; Economics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.02955101,0.00124785,0.001057059,0.000578942,0.00141716,0.001667151,0.003096211,0.001728377,0.008752216],"category_scores_gemma":[0.1333552,0.0006825751,0.001995991,0.0005502682,0.003190104,0.002229879,0.002361243,0.003758523,0.001524794],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001167225,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002905777,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.008355265,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004964282,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9892839,0.00411578,0.000955558,0.003125914,0.002213867,0.0003050529],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.8251738,0.05271385,0.01064043,0.08820862,0.02189627,0.001367],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":"reproducibility","domain_candidate":"reproducibility","domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"design_other","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.03428553,0.02255521,0.1333566,0.007008037,0.005332193,0.002041585,0.04880977,0.004056867,0.1890087,0.04651448,0.03367688,0.4733542],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00597597,0.01834041,0.6902331,0.001381759,0.00567552,0.001925063,0.005316344,0.008216058,0.1171097,0.07371642,0.07137481,0.0007348938],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9057102,0.002619568,0.04761349,0.007842357,0.003998274,0.005106955,0.002344176,0.0005083369,0.02425659],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9463934,0.0006715274,0.03180917,0.003216097,0.0008232474,0.004498763,0.00109986,0.0002878259,0.01120006],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.970449,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.1562825,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3629318263371547,"score_gpt":0.3536081436391422,"score_spread":0.009323682698012536,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}