{"id":"W4283071649","doi":"10.3389/fevo.2022.846144","title":"Predicting Emerald Ash Borer Adult Emergence and Peak Flight Activity in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Winnipeg; University of Manitoba","funders":"University of Manitoba; University of Winnipeg","keywords":"Emerald ash borer; Agrilus; Buprestidae; Fraxinus; Forestry; Geography; Larch; Ecology; Infestation; Environmental science; Biology; Horticulture","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0003441564,0.0007999296,0.000255931,0.001211799,0.0008717788,0.000928487,0.001053244,0.0002554829,0.001297255],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0009368196,0.0003344396,0.0004550076,0.001222096,0.0002567084,0.0002503113,0.0005152318,0.0002855759,0.0002619684],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.01323261,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.01203576,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.9929622,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9969842,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9998224,0.00001565849,0.000007173951,0.00004588866,0.00004137744,0.00006757682],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995346,0.0000476084,0.0000513268,0.000009892419,0.0002483923,0.0001080792],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001318814,0.00008834317,0.957569,0.00008967526,0.0001365207,0.0002383974,0.0004122519,0.01669431,0.001724665,0.000268821,0.004931053,0.01771504],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004358861,0.00004949304,0.9117405,0.0001109234,0.00009850867,0.00007203578,0.001949498,0.07858317,0.0006671659,0.0001016669,0.006550831,0.00003256322],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9887477,0.0009125298,0.001229811,0.0003422897,0.00002467966,0.0001355693,0.005394737,0.0001066317,0.003106037],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9868594,0.000893,0.003354502,0.0001232049,0.000006138635,0.00005738661,0.005767286,0.00002398516,0.002915104],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01323261,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09600973,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.003143588606582075,"score_gpt":0.1667282719822363,"score_spread":0.1635846833756542,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}