{"id":"W4283071649","doi":"10.3389/fevo.2022.846144","title":"Predicting Emerald Ash Borer Adult Emergence and Peak Flight Activity in Winnipeg, Manitoba, Canada","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution","topic":"Forest Insect Ecology and Management","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":12,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Winnipeg; University of Manitoba","funders":"University of Manitoba; University of Winnipeg","keywords":"Emerald ash borer; Agrilus; Buprestidae; Fraxinus; Forestry; Geography; Larch; Ecology; Infestation; Environmental science; Biology; Horticulture","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002932769,0.00009563484,0.0001302271,0.00007279978,0.0003361868,0.000003464888,0.0001048427,0.00006571511,0.0002253215],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00003760793,0.0001101671,0.000009349325,0.000224047,0.0001417731,0.0001569574,0.0003104335,0.0002679066,0.000001818726],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007604189,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00003783833,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.3270741,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.9540156,"domain_scores_codex":[0.998987,0.0001508782,0.0001489397,0.000303233,0.0001062699,0.0003036889],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997829,0.00001961276,0.00005974951,0.00009227254,0.00000321796,0.0000422019],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005604777,0.00005340438,0.9599507,0.000007202676,0.000007870412,0.00002507233,0.000196025,0.002554318,0.00006178081,0.0001017678,0.036153,0.0008328044],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0003590068,0.00008929484,0.984717,0.000002132021,0.000007533337,0.000009122934,0.0007934019,0.01060459,0.00000661472,0.001017351,0.002284938,0.0001090491],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9967564,0.0001262193,0.00007825417,0.0006880936,0.001164278,0.0002393806,0.000007849957,0.00001102205,0.0009285343],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9988147,0.00007391901,0.0002055619,0.0004638633,0.00001459531,0.0001019306,0.000006280406,0.000004792268,0.0003143533],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.6269414,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.6774069,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.003143588606582075,"score_gpt":0.1667282719822363,"score_spread":0.1635846833756542,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}