{"id":"W4284687208","doi":"10.21203/rs.3.rs-1516063/v12","title":"Rapid epidemic expansion of the SARS-CoV-2 Omicron BA.2 subvariant during China’s largest outbreaks","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"Research Square","topic":"COVID-19 epidemiological studies","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"University of Waterloo; University of Pretoria","keywords":"Outbreak; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); China; Pandemic; Epidemic model; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Isolation (microbiology); Quarantine; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Basic reproduction number; Virology; Demography; Infectious disease (medical specialty); Disease; Biology; Medicine; Political science; Law; Sociology; Bioinformatics; Ecology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0004106837,0.0002086363,0.0002703361,0.0006741137,0.0004353607,0.0004081941,0.0002761566,0.0001842297,0.0007903136],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005563924,0.0001188856,0.0003112051,0.0006740228,0.0002731156,0.000317464,0.0003718939,0.0002366995,0.00007959601],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006416138,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005320203,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01988886,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.01857752,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999764,0.00003585114,0.00001547798,0.00005932371,0.00005574929,0.00006958156],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995332,0.00004406638,0.0001562493,0.00006404446,0.0001147196,0.00008777849],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001990207,0.00004121561,0.9655463,0.00005688427,0.00009958843,0.0006080445,0.0005559371,0.003040166,0.0150648,0.0009425979,0.001343032,0.01250253],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000004220175,0.00004043191,0.9934861,0.000004791543,0.00002043198,0.0001325567,0.0002344493,0.004205878,0.0008024712,0.0002640387,0.0007918695,0.00001271742],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9986051,0.0001027256,0.000422692,0.00008811682,0.000007682985,0.000008061157,0.0002075226,0.000008286793,0.0005499004],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9994174,0.00003878875,0.00009422877,0.00001959146,0.000008600061,0.000003481784,0.0002396659,0.000001507114,0.0001766439],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01988886,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.03954619,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.3545404060652712,"score_gpt":0.4959676646921801,"score_spread":0.1414272586269089,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}