{"id":"W4285029630","doi":"10.1108/978-1-80262-849-420221008","title":"Strategic Foresight and the Narrative of Disruption","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"book-chapter","venue":"","topic":"Complex Systems and Decision Making","field":"Decision Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Ontario College of Art and Design","funders":"","keywords":"Futures studies; Narrative; Business; Political science; Computer science; Art; Literature; Artificial intelligence","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.000831066,0.0008233815,0.0003017232,0.0007230631,0.001365037,0.006903855,0.0007595026,0.001686503,0.01369676],"category_scores_gemma":[0.002163352,0.000257296,0.000238869,0.001453263,0.005648351,0.006336201,0.001357056,0.002850686,0.002083744],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003008065,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.002970816,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004205112,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.007605808,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9995555,0.0002297817,0.00001092197,0.00004080084,0.0001205857,0.00004229325],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992474,0.0005656814,0.00004282424,0.00004479308,0.00006015337,0.00003906136],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000003005095,0.000003385186,0.00001471029,0.00002717931,0.000001339175,0.00002062495,0.0006083975,0.0005358276,0.00003599825,0.9726642,0.01573336,0.01035202],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000001187744,0.000003661547,0.00003854336,0.0001050123,0.000001280039,0.0000281958,0.000668931,0.000518186,0.00006031441,0.7738369,0.2247336,0.000004165443],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"other","genre_scores_codex":[0.001350171,0.02140639,0.0227191,0.01053129,0.0009242004,0.00002474341,0.00008597517,0.00004611462,0.942912],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.2478478,0.05104519,0.01858876,0.003351231,0.001396617,0.0001694312,0.0002729918,0.0002332414,0.6770949],"genre_candidate":"other","genre_consensus":"other","teacher_disagreement_score":0.01369676,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.04582024,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.2186687737146594,"score_gpt":0.3863628333891055,"score_spread":0.1676940596744461,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}