{"id":"W4285531837","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4047267","title":"Big Loans to Small Businesses: Predicting Winners and Losers in an Entrepreneurial Lending Experiment","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Private Equity and Venture Capital","field":"Business, Management and Accounting","cited_by":9,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Business; Financial system; Entrepreneurship; Economics; Accounting; Finance","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0008564978,0.0002050883,0.0002198063,0.0003016758,0.0002228388,0.0005036787,0.0002470102,0.00007403334,0.00003997957],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001851289,0.0002054753,0.00006321601,0.0004934428,0.00002724324,0.0009197543,0.0002465543,0.0007806226,0.00001496163],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.000356918,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0004408362,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001555301,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00307722,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9975327,0.00003073424,0.0003231023,0.0003706793,0.0002249101,0.001517832],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995144,0.00002361841,0.0001402591,0.0001687688,0.0001087712,0.00004417279],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.001178345,0.001507143,0.4145223,0.0003528206,0.0005316695,0.000875717,0.004408871,0.002562398,0.1544445,0.2731154,0.0003595293,0.1461412],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.03915621,0.001984273,0.1256513,0.003209515,0.001255,0.003873286,0.2428269,0.009328306,0.0308362,0.4543082,0.07850523,0.009065617],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9947007,0.001101351,0.001004037,0.001624228,0.0008808274,0.0001253737,7.153025e-7,0.00004572509,0.0005170442],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9961917,0.0003349982,0.00005585963,0.0005215797,0.002750244,0.000006315772,0.00001298987,0.00002962161,0.00009672499],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.2888711,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.8379039,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01793047039214322,"score_gpt":0.2324902919598337,"score_spread":0.2145598215676905,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}