{"id":"W4286872580","doi":"10.48550/arxiv.2111.01317","title":"The Variability of the Black-Hole Image in M87 at the Dynamical Time Scale","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"UCL Discovery (University College London)","topic":"Astrophysical Phenomena and Observations","field":"Physics and Astronomy","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"Los Alamos National Laboratory; National Key Research and Development Program of China; Japan Society for the Promotion of Science; National Nuclear Security Administration; Institut Périmètre de physique théorique; Agencia Nacional de Investigación y Desarrollo; Istituto Nazionale di Fisica Nucleare; Recruitment Program of Global Experts; Universiteit van Amsterdam; Junta de Andalucía; National Astronomical Observatory of Japan; Dirección General de Asuntos del Personal Académico, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología; Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovación; Max-Planck-Gesellschaft; Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique; National Natural Science Foundation of China; National Research Foundation of Korea; Generalitat Valenciana; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada; European Southern Observatory; China Scholarship Council; Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology; John Templeton Foundation; Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad; National Science Foundation; China Postdoctoral Science Foundation; Instituto de Astrofísica de Andalucía; Chinese Academy of Sciences; Academia Sinica; Vetenskapsrådet; International Max Planck Research School for Environmental, Cellular and Molecular Microbiology; Smithsonian Institution; U.S. Department of Energy; Kavli Foundation; Leverhulme Trust; National Radio Astronomy Observatory; Harvard University; Toray Science Foundation; Radboud Universiteit; National Research Foundation; University of Arizona; Compute Canada; Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas; University of Chicago; National Institutes of Natural Sciences; Government of Canada; National Aeronautics and Space Administration; Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades; Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation; Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México; Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute; Universiteit Leiden; Flatiron Health","keywords":"Physics; Black hole (networking); Astrophysics; Supermassive black hole; Galaxy; Event horizon; Event (particle physics)","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0002754214,0.0001647756,0.0001930894,0.0003683021,0.0001703498,0.000485213,0.0003652314,0.0002786899,0.0004169314],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001328034,0.0001223725,0.0004177295,0.000285117,0.0003159257,0.0003144994,0.0002738222,0.0003281723,0.00007613812],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005271281,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001822064,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.004624224,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.004049279,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9999106,0.00001636051,0.000004535093,0.00002753661,0.00001762175,0.00002335425],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9995794,0.0001615689,0.00008053919,0.00005611212,0.00004951693,0.00007281302],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0008494238,0.0002549973,0.703829,0.00009105157,0.0003378475,0.0006590617,0.0006896586,0.2055117,0.06646686,0.003264022,0.001276696,0.01676965],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00002232797,0.00008706751,0.7617435,0.000009416439,0.00003865721,0.0001320926,0.0001413222,0.2322231,0.004635438,0.0005517596,0.0003932967,0.00002205823],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9992359,0.00002150491,0.0003092418,0.00001593436,0.000001716473,0.000002162997,0.0001023037,0.00001813704,0.0002930957],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9996345,0.000008047787,0.00013886,0.000002277772,0.000001542481,0.000001384393,0.0001853902,0.000005760782,0.00002217334],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.004624224,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.009194613,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.00404860688281314,"score_gpt":0.179920487653505,"score_spread":0.1758718807706919,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}