{"id":"W4287119589","doi":"10.48550/arxiv.2106.08945","title":"The Economic Impact of Critical National Infrastructure Failure Due to\\n Space Weather","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"preprint","venue":"arXiv (Cornell University)","topic":"Infrastructure Resilience and Vulnerability Analysis","field":"Engineering","cited_by":1,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Space weather; Natural hazard; Space (punctuation); Aviation; Extreme weather; Natural disaster; Economic impact analysis; Critical infrastructure; Climate change; Meteorology; Hazard; Environmental resource management; Business; Geography; Environmental science; Computer science; Engineering; Computer security; Civil engineering; Aerospace engineering","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":true,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.0001696204,0.0002832889,0.0003808527,0.0001643685,0.0001296293,0.00008981129,0.0005513987,0.000312891,0.0005626488],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001228812,0.0002467975,0.0004693511,0.0002883308,0.0001898296,0.0001420328,0.0002952891,0.0006295306,0.00002336389],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001189329,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0005194656,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001645613,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0003440537,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9988793,0.0000767182,0.0002151724,0.0004339528,0.00009815583,0.0002967426],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988127,0.0002286638,0.00005932643,0.0005542568,0.0002054781,0.0001395316],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001269653,0.000005388615,0.00119499,0.00005994763,0.0002669775,0.00002197702,0.0001370724,0.9880101,0.0001716023,0.009072835,0.0009523625,0.00009406536],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0002430829,0.00004917829,0.0267355,0.00008817065,0.000246942,0.00001992571,0.0008591265,0.9359009,0.0007201993,0.03390806,0.0005535877,0.0006753678],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9588903,0.00007100358,0.03832151,0.0001131262,0.0003093283,0.0001440416,0.0001178898,0.00006699254,0.001965873],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9993533,0.00004682211,0.0003187702,0.00001201009,0.0001301396,8.891537e-7,0.00002173232,0.00002293612,0.00009341651],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.05210923,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999985,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01506723520787568,"score_gpt":0.1990713519731001,"score_spread":0.1840041167652244,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}