{"id":"W4288448951","doi":"10.29173/cgs66","title":"The Gambler’s Fallacy","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Critical Gambling Studies","topic":"Historical Economic and Legal Thought","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fallacy; Battle; Epistemology; Philosophy; Psychology; History","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003675532,0.0003973613,0.0004791577,0.001759179,0.003462497,0.003125469,0.00088141,0.002798335,0.00360318],"category_scores_gemma":[0.007386152,0.0002215951,0.0003409607,0.0007981061,0.03154544,0.007504719,0.002933868,0.006002913,0.0003280972],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.003000829,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001900138,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.002859256,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00294042,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9983693,0.0007308854,0.00004973472,0.0002955089,0.000384121,0.0001703891],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9975756,0.00149729,0.0002099096,0.0002086666,0.0002939655,0.0002146333],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000004797864,0.000005781845,0.0001156531,0.000004164944,0.00000100268,0.00003119222,0.0008747777,0.00004808594,0.00001759618,0.997116,0.0005939569,0.001187069],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000003657411,0.000005110381,0.0001307286,0.0000181798,0.000001046124,0.00005499838,0.0005754073,0.0003367668,0.0000285409,0.9928747,0.005967502,0.000003370191],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.2148374,0.006657598,0.1075515,0.1647799,0.00132213,0.00007827421,0.0001047124,0.0001385388,0.5045298],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9832017,0.0006824959,0.004982718,0.003563069,0.0001393633,0.00002830222,0.00001493111,0.00002901475,0.007358349],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.003675532,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02177262,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1536866418877033,"score_gpt":0.448212324558582,"score_spread":0.2945256826708786,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}