{"id":"W4288448951","doi":"10.29173/cgs66","title":"The Gambler’s Fallacy","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Critical Gambling Studies","topic":"Historical Economic and Legal Thought","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Fallacy; Battle; Epistemology; Philosophy; Psychology; History","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["sts"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001383902,0.00007509577,0.0001507732,0.00002410197,0.007064051,0.00007928137,0.000312628,0.00002148323,0.0002052722],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004294304,0.00005838485,0.00008163747,0.0002208772,0.0009389181,0.00007899132,0.0002201594,0.0002677169,0.00007915318],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0003939911,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001038221,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001596043,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001693612,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9985955,0.0002966003,0.000194115,0.0001876979,0.0003051975,0.0004208916],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.997431,0.002215494,0.0000244495,0.0001361425,0.00009755693,0.00009537549],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00001125143,0.00002955316,0.00006734418,0.000005058102,0.00002772444,0.00002463698,0.01178889,0.00001392737,0.000002740777,0.934782,0.04773117,0.005515674],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00006069789,0.0000274188,0.00002277952,0.000002670798,0.00001090292,0.000001738282,0.0354531,0.00001682337,0.00000175273,0.02138632,0.9429296,0.00008616862],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"other","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.01721511,0.06079916,0.0004170691,0.2109194,0.01101586,0.0004305177,0.0000140659,0.0004739793,0.6987149],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.974061,0.0008020214,0.0001497597,0.001239284,0.0007128126,0.00009682451,3.382461e-7,0.000009950404,0.02292807],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.9568458,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9942286,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1536866418877033,"score_gpt":0.448212324558582,"score_spread":0.2945256826708786,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}