{"id":"W4289176106","doi":"10.3390/jrfm15080338","title":"Pandemic-Era Uncertainty","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of risk and financial management","topic":"Market Dynamics and Volatility","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":13,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"University of Chicago; Economic and Social Research Council; Booth School of Business, University of Chicago; Alfred P. Sloan Foundation","keywords":"Economics; Equity (law); Pandemic; Investment (military); Index (typography); Downside risk; Demographic economics; Financial economics; Actuarial science; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Political science; Portfolio; Politics","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.002334849,0.0003697049,0.0003204773,0.001826162,0.0008003592,0.002466513,0.0004722452,0.0008737444,0.005999408],"category_scores_gemma":[0.02374796,0.0001343243,0.00050146,0.001958848,0.0009123277,0.003720439,0.002470951,0.001476771,0.0004362714],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001346948,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0008042824,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.005106253,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00452025,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981313,0.0005217463,0.0001912268,0.000245727,0.0005748276,0.000335121],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.986393,0.006575561,0.00439471,0.0006238997,0.001420886,0.0005918837],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0004126361,0.0002145173,0.6751465,0.0007220924,0.000470436,0.0007092957,0.008280784,0.04079473,0.001009515,0.1378566,0.02318399,0.111199],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00004201087,0.000608466,0.5531982,0.001062942,0.0002593772,0.00177287,0.02840402,0.05479931,0.002293608,0.2405593,0.1166691,0.0003308534],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.7876475,0.007031967,0.0350306,0.01315651,0.0007199484,0.0002764996,0.009876118,0.0001696571,0.1460911],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9956518,0.0006815922,0.001176854,0.0005032342,0.0001485717,0.00005376877,0.0009311042,0.00001022627,0.0008428814],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.005999408,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.02007008,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.01230122706000656,"score_gpt":0.2017787127296392,"score_spread":0.1894774856696326,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}