{"id":"W4289516299","doi":"10.1016/j.eclinm.2022.101573","title":"Suicide numbers during the first 9-15 months of the COVID-19 pandemic compared with pre-existing trends: An interrupted time series analysis in 33 countries","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"EClinicalMedicine","topic":"COVID-19 and Mental Health","field":"Psychology","cited_by":211,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Health Sciences Centre; University of Toronto; Sunnybrook Health Science Centre","funders":"National Institute of Mental Health; National Health and Medical Research Council; Australian Research Council; Patient Safety Translational Research Centre; NIHR Greater Manchester Patient Safety Translational Research Centre; Vlaamse regering; Elizabeth Blackwell Institute for Health Research, University of Bristol; University of Toronto; Bundesministerium für Gesundheit; Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek; Ministerstvo Školství, Mládeže a Tělovýchovy; National Natural Science Foundation of China; Economic and Social Research Council; Swansea University; University of Manchester; Medical Research Council; Department of Health and Social Care; University of Edinburgh; National Institute for Health and Care Research; International Seafood Sustainability Foundation; Health Service Executive; Australian Government; LivaNova; University Hospitals Bristol NHS Foundation Trust; Health and Care Research Wales; Scottish Government; Queensland Health; Erasmus+; MQ: Transforming Mental Health; European Commission; World Health Organization; University of Bristol; International Association for Suicide Prevention; Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration; Queensland Government; Univerzita Karlova v Praze","keywords":"Medicine; Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19); Pandemic; 2019-20 coronavirus outbreak; Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2); Interrupted Time Series Analysis; Interrupted time series; Series (stratigraphy); Poison control; Medical emergency; Suicide prevention; Virology; Outbreak; Psychiatry; Statistics; Internal medicine; Psychological intervention","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":true,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001911249,0.0002066767,0.0006748263,0.0002387428,0.0004990817,0.000009988533,0.0006059801,0.00006490169,0.003719582],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0003344081,0.0001224133,0.0001408542,0.001579851,0.0006381967,0.00006510581,0.0002363364,0.0006096245,0.000006674775],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005386439,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0002882672,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":true,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.01568495,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.05126724,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9970761,0.0006277777,0.0009720745,0.0004697615,0.0004648754,0.0003894015],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9968446,0.001595782,0.0005087818,0.0008352636,0.00003548555,0.0001800631],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002878307,0.0002328631,0.9780442,0.0000709981,0.0003065885,0.00003431466,0.0149254,0.002120254,0.000008432383,0.00007479202,0.001053235,0.0002506692],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003832535,0.000746394,0.9568016,0.00006949837,0.0003830397,0.00006408634,0.006433249,0.0007073413,0.000002647304,0.00005769959,0.03073609,0.0001657924],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9886621,0.0003412384,0.00004397672,0.008604847,0.0002748187,0.0004345459,0.0001397052,0.0000790394,0.001419771],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9907373,0.00002477263,0.00002049543,0.005812147,0.00008778271,0.0001130884,0.00007420977,0.0000217725,0.003108409],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.03558229,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9971911,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.09905148084805121,"score_gpt":0.4470266680444838,"score_spread":0.3479751871964326,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}