{"id":"W4289885428","doi":"10.3171/2022.4.jns212968","title":"Projected timeline to achieve gender balance within the United States neurosurgical workforce exceeds 150 years: a National Plan and Provider Enumeration System analysis","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Journal of neurosurgery","topic":"Diversity and Career in Medicine","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":17,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"University of Ottawa","funders":"","keywords":"Workforce; Neurosurgery; Medicine; Timeline; Demography; Census; Population; Context (archaeology); Family medicine; Surgery; Geography; Environmental health; Economic growth","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":["metaresearch"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001538725,0.0002617727,0.0002015275,0.001506722,0.0002552076,0.000691698,0.0004500942,0.000263662,0.003324281],"category_scores_gemma":[0.004862867,0.0001612935,0.0008774821,0.001889739,0.00009075669,0.0007362703,0.000641545,0.000595778,0.000472637],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.00130956,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001526277,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.04574068,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.03758639,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9994455,0.0001615645,0.00006059775,0.00009812319,0.0001196928,0.0001143845],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.998062,0.0003879213,0.0007770115,0.00005929188,0.0005160056,0.0001978153],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":"incentives","domain_candidate":"incentives","domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00005433681,0.00003669753,0.9829542,0.00004574558,0.00008316121,0.0000538602,0.0001177551,0.003990155,0.00005754758,0.0005901033,0.004906355,0.007110049],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001049083,0.0001339045,0.9693739,0.00006450841,0.00006251063,0.0001838589,0.0008888108,0.02342205,0.00013905,0.0003264483,0.005380173,0.00001435671],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9444336,0.0005257238,0.002823279,0.001999406,0.00006496024,0.0001050139,0.04484788,0.0001084531,0.005091693],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9760413,0.0003822649,0.002096239,0.0001637448,0.00003002485,0.000123422,0.02022297,0.00001742132,0.0009227321],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.9984612,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.09094882,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04948370684081138,"score_gpt":0.2882890952675455,"score_spread":0.2388053884267341,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}