{"id":"W4291721231","doi":"10.1111/gcb.16371","title":"Recommendations for quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate projections of species distributions","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Global Change Biology","topic":"Species Distribution and Climate Change","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":89,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Fisheries and Oceans Canada","funders":"Climate Program Office; Nuclear Safety and Security Commission; National Aeronautics and Space Administration","keywords":"Species distribution; Climate change; Earth system science; Environmental science; Ecology; Environmental resource management; Habitat; Biology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.00023493,0.00007498089,0.000124001,0.0000293612,0.000329455,0.000007002721,0.00009487492,0.00003473879,0.005266512],"category_scores_gemma":[0.00004851131,0.0000773408,0.0000385407,0.0003878239,0.0001498764,0.0000547246,0.00029269,0.00006113805,0.000008570838],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0006848078,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.000006750199,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.001967207,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.001455988,"domain_scores_codex":[0.999222,0.00006624387,0.0001868253,0.0002180908,0.00005134981,0.0002554526],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9997348,0.0000413307,0.00008381835,0.00009703482,0.000009698216,0.00003333392],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"observational","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0001078356,0.000269297,0.8678049,0.00003778392,0.00001613067,8.35427e-7,0.0008956682,0.00003053185,0.002288974,0.1090105,0.01148223,0.008055303],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0008414261,0.0003644881,0.6006452,0.00001286407,0.00002131399,0.00001777679,0.01198995,0.0006333454,0.00006788953,0.001380299,0.3837687,0.000256699],"study_design_candidate":"observational","study_design_consensus":"observational","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9723654,0.0001896961,0.000308035,0.00565451,0.0005409068,0.0007738315,0.01416742,0.0000445826,0.005955585],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9979951,0.0001783628,0.0001325065,0.0001003238,0.00002525831,0.0004136346,0.001128974,0.000002848946,0.00002298891],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.3722865,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9956428,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.1655780558145342,"score_gpt":0.3523576836422552,"score_spread":0.186779627827721,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}