{"id":"W4293055393","doi":"10.1038/s41558-022-01398-2","title":"Future Southern Ocean warming linked to projected ENSO variability","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"Nature Climate Change","topic":"Climate variability and models","field":"Environmental Science","cited_by":59,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"Environment and Climate Change Canada","funders":"NOAA Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory; Australian Government; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation; Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research; National Research Foundation; Joint Research Centre","keywords":"Climatology; Environmental science; El Niño Southern Oscillation; Teleconnection; Ocean heat content; Global warming; Coupled model intercomparison project; Effects of global warming on oceans; Climate model; Amplitude; Sea surface temperature; Latitude; Climate change; Atmospheric sciences; Oceanography; Geology","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["metaepi_narrow","insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001496481,0.0002814745,0.000280998,0.0000764065,0.0006694901,0.00004106816,0.000555628,0.000292551,0.008150836],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0001233247,0.0002640652,0.0001247819,0.0007544362,0.00006939693,0.0001734711,0.001418495,0.00117141,0.0002729914],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0005800767,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.00001353941,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001828392,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0001331819,"domain_scores_codex":[0.997247,0.0002795947,0.0003058449,0.0008454797,0.0006107187,0.0007113838],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9988686,0.0001074055,0.0001081334,0.0006814441,0.00002314247,0.0002112624],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"observational","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.002602719,0.005825986,0.5039455,0.0009606448,0.0001822448,0.0003280163,0.278465,0.00502163,0.08338568,0.006144004,0.04724083,0.06589771],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.003358937,0.001235386,0.1148953,0.00009674895,0.0002542653,0.0001471035,0.02522391,0.01433714,0.0005839761,0.005574969,0.8305538,0.003738419],"study_design_candidate":"not_applicable","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9862298,0.00005604253,0.0000152505,0.005659731,0.001071862,0.001419924,0.0008488983,0.0002906796,0.004407857],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9935016,0.00002465485,0.0008517547,0.0043384,0.0006516734,0.0002470839,0.0001542112,0.0000475002,0.000183091],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.783313,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9999812,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.02487505512850506,"score_gpt":0.2608842475407427,"score_spread":0.2360091924122376,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}