{"id":"W4293136580","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4058592","title":"A Call for An International Research Program on the Risk of a Global Polycrisis","year":2021,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Regional resilience and development","field":"Economics, Econometrics and Finance","cited_by":99,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Cascades (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Business","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.003225693,0.00006723644,0.0001330145,0.0000693966,0.0001865107,0.00007895778,0.000372753,0.00004416282,0.00003246198],"category_scores_gemma":[0.0005539012,0.00005245516,0.0001261993,0.0002550865,0.00005477143,0.0001146191,0.00003650935,0.0005906141,0.0000331112],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0007650799,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001147648,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.0001381036,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0005657525,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9984251,0.00004963692,0.0003181112,0.0002026359,0.0001379118,0.0008666126],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9992877,0.0001144504,0.0001769962,0.0001667055,0.0002009613,0.00005313825],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00008026074,0.0002340124,0.027991,0.000001610698,0.0001439998,0.000001099886,0.0000658881,0.00002476688,0.000004581324,0.951557,0.0006115974,0.01928416],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.000402033,0.0006855206,0.03140404,0.00001079541,0.000003841283,0.00005841342,0.0008479636,0.0004648886,0.00007295862,0.9366043,0.02936094,0.00008428324],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":"theoretical_or_conceptual","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9744556,0.002133636,0.003775632,0.006654972,0.0002562889,0.0002834708,0.000061699,0.000008577825,0.01237012],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9937347,0.004615702,0.0004712287,0.0001110483,0.0001446072,0.00003824297,0.000004679451,0.000006975579,0.0008727786],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.02874934,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.2565957,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.06901100086654419,"score_gpt":0.350748460867223,"score_spread":0.2817374600006788,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}