{"id":"W4294781460","doi":"10.2196/34555","title":"Key Population Size Estimation to Guide HIV Epidemic Responses in Nigeria: Bayesian Analysis of 3-Source Capture-Recapture Data","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"JMIR Public Health and Surveillance","topic":"Census and Population Estimation","field":"Mathematics","cited_by":11,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Mark and recapture; Population; Population size; Demography; Men who have sex with men; Estimation; Geography; Statistics; Medicine; Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV); Mathematics; Sociology","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061c","candidate_categories":[],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.01599907,0.0007038453,0.001296901,0.00234716,0.0008037021,0.001358362,0.002469299,0.001025647,0.001717964],"category_scores_gemma":[0.04334371,0.0009007766,0.001849171,0.001527056,0.001141238,0.001711575,0.001773304,0.001723147,0.0004144461],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.001561071,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.001340553,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02667222,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.02556759,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9963335,0.002304731,0.0002335653,0.0006349774,0.0003085751,0.0001847692],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9797228,0.01632052,0.001605774,0.0009253421,0.00121992,0.0002057065],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.000220356,0.0001137703,0.1462813,0.0004185348,0.0005809949,0.0003918262,0.001394363,0.731541,0.001734777,0.0226917,0.003488449,0.09114294],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.00001980461,0.00004467137,0.02571767,0.0001342384,0.00007414453,0.0001188489,0.0002241143,0.9534558,0.0004621413,0.01805945,0.001637095,0.00005196202],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"methods","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1659252,0.0006974662,0.8279305,0.0004944564,0.00004065885,0.0004032398,0.002174314,0.0003944474,0.001939743],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.7232846,0.0005839633,0.2693082,0.0002247407,0.00004953868,0.0007546975,0.004450934,0.0001254184,0.001217764],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.02667222,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.08461213,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.05811098036337272,"score_gpt":0.3723140632711769,"score_spread":0.3142030829078042,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}