{"id":"W4296436687","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.4222683","title":"Tail Risk in Production Networks","year":2022,"lang":"en","type":"article","venue":"SSRN Electronic Journal","topic":"Flexible and Reconfigurable Manufacturing Systems","field":"Engineering","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":false,"ca_institutions":"Kellogg's (Canada)","funders":"","keywords":"Production (economics); Business; Economics; Microeconomics","routes":{"ca_aff":true,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":false,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":false},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["research_integrity"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.001471557,0.0001049666,0.0001271923,0.0001679906,0.0002241564,0.00002579942,0.0001584117,0.00003481761,0.00006020132],"category_scores_gemma":[0.000009525439,0.00010244,0.00005105036,0.0002165102,0.000008136644,0.00009430762,0.00001624194,0.00300548,0.00001070605],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.0012915,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.0001765178,"about_ca_topic_candidate":false,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.00007880288,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.0005050227,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9981074,0.00009877665,0.0002280191,0.0001195144,0.0001528592,0.001293399],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.999773,0.00001199331,0.00005683393,0.0001181669,0.000009265901,0.00003080253],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_gemma":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_scores_codex":[0.0000122595,0.00001423528,0.001405035,0.000006444554,0.00005510686,0.000004061201,0.0001130016,0.9749275,0.00006866133,0.0007253314,0.000494424,0.02217392],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.007293093,0.002273605,0.01683699,0.0002414898,0.0002474388,0.01765294,0.03104186,0.450565,0.005616769,0.2548785,0.2093723,0.003980143],"study_design_candidate":"simulation_or_modeling","study_design_consensus":"simulation_or_modeling","genre_codex":"empirical","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.9818347,0.009717262,0.003166637,0.0001238793,0.002681962,0.0001611699,0.000001133515,0.0001540039,0.002159305],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9936331,0.003809239,0.000005509851,0.000007710717,0.0004708591,0.00002172356,0.000002332241,0.00002951606,0.002020011],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":"empirical","teacher_disagreement_score":0.5243626,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9992946,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.003928951200071126,"score_gpt":0.1753416625709416,"score_spread":0.1714127113708705,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}