{"id":"W4296478854","doi":"10.3917/riges.473.0044","title":"On a lu pour vous – Le monde en 2040 vu par la CIA, du National Intelligence Council","year":2022,"lang":"fr","type":"article","venue":"Gestion","topic":"Global Security and Public Health","field":"Social Sciences","cited_by":0,"is_retracted":false,"has_abstract":true,"ca_institutions":"","funders":"","keywords":"Humanities; Political science; Philosophy; Gynecology; Medicine","routes":{"ca_aff":false,"ca_fund":false,"ca_venue":true,"about_ca":false,"invisible_to_affiliation_only":true},"retraction":null,"screen":null,"direct_labels":[],"prediction":{"model_version":"codex-gemma-dda1882f352a","candidate_categories":["insufficient_payload"],"consensus_categories":[],"category_scores_codex":[0.004167473,0.0001128322,0.0001198325,0.00004343922,0.00114119,0.00007571373,0.0002734295,0.0001709589,0.001869549],"category_scores_gemma":[0.001861937,0.0001396492,0.00006196009,0.0005216401,0.0001802952,0.0002137281,0.00007862261,0.000498055,0.0003939098],"about_ca_system_candidate":false,"about_ca_system_consensus":false,"about_ca_system_score_codex":0.002519511,"about_ca_system_score_gemma":0.004806038,"about_ca_topic_candidate":true,"about_ca_topic_consensus":false,"about_ca_topic_score_codex":0.02674771,"about_ca_topic_score_gemma":0.00291774,"domain_scores_codex":[0.9962083,0.001393679,0.0002182922,0.0002748277,0.001535649,0.0003693051],"domain_scores_gemma":[0.9986597,0.000650006,0.0001110628,0.00008969831,0.0003193791,0.0001701385],"domain_codex":null,"domain_gemma":null,"domain_candidate":null,"domain_consensus":null,"study_design_codex":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_gemma":"not_applicable","study_design_scores_codex":[0.00002383639,0.00033411,0.0001342927,0.00001557783,0.000008998259,0.00001279111,0.01203839,0.004532964,0.000005878438,0.8422373,0.102209,0.03844684],"study_design_scores_gemma":[0.0001152109,0.0001312296,0.003109258,0.00002317114,0.000006352594,0.00001402085,0.003079296,0.003163368,0.000003088216,0.1324839,0.8577379,0.0001332552],"study_design_candidate":"theoretical_or_conceptual","study_design_consensus":null,"genre_codex":"commentary","genre_gemma":"empirical","genre_scores_codex":[0.1482901,0.003099062,0.001425538,0.6388226,0.004177965,0.0004835107,0.0003233469,0.0001418058,0.203236],"genre_scores_gemma":[0.9854562,0.0007251491,0.0001177374,0.002351132,0.0006197375,0.00003963041,0.00002962503,0.000007965763,0.01065279],"genre_candidate":"empirical","genre_consensus":null,"teacher_disagreement_score":0.8371661,"threshold_uncertainty_score":0.9990429,"prediction_status":"machine_predicted_unvalidated"},"machine_scores":{"provisional":true,"baseline":true,"maturity_gate_passed":false,"score_opus":0.04622225223473315,"score_gpt":0.2934442779178417,"score_spread":0.2472220256831086,"validation_status":"score_only:v0-immature-baseline","note":"Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed). Scores rank; they never assert a category."}}